It's a mistake to assume that the war in Ukraine must end before Russia can be a threat to NATO. This idea is built on a paradox, and it doesn't take into account the question of Europe's limited defense resources. On the contrary, a Russian attack on NATO could be a way to improve their chances in Ukraine.

0:00 Intro
0:24 Why Russia could attack NATO
1:54 Different time estimates
3:19 Why not now?
4:09 The sequential scenario
5:45 The simultaneous scenario
7:37 A way to divert resources from Ukraine